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Thread: To quantify Godwins Law as a predictor to Forum Activity and its role in Nemetics

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    To quantify Godwins Law as a predictor to Forum Activity and its role in Nemetics

    Good morning to you all in Australia.

    My name is Eamon O’Connell (no relation) and I am doing my 5th year Mathematics Degree at the School of Computing and Mathematics at the University of Ulser.

    Together with a team that includes Katie Butler, Liam O’Drisscoll (no relation), Thomas D’Arcy, and Bernadette Healy (relation) we are conducting a research project for our Masters Thesis under Professor Mulvahney.

    The title of our project is :-
    “To quantify Godwins Law as a predictor to Forum Activity and its role in Nemetics”

    In plain speak we are attempting to predict at what point of an Internet Discussion Forum it goes to Shite.
    As you may know, Godwins Law is asserting that "As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches — that is, if an online discussion (regardless of topic or scope) goes on long enough, sooner or later someone will compare someone or something to Hitler or Nazism.”

    As the foundation of our these hypothesis we have included that as the part of our reasoning or predictor models would include when “spelling Nazi” or “grammar Nazi” or that a forum thread turned to Shite then would be a trigger for Godwins Law.

    As our team are also a fine bunch of Rugby Fans we have focused on Rugby Forums around the world and with kind co-operation from your Administrator here at TWF we have based our data on some of the TWF forums.

    We also liked the fact that a fine upcoming player named Kyle Godwin was so commonly discussed on this site and this came up in our Google metadata analysis.

    1) So, when does an Internet Forum thread turn to Shite and why would we want to predict this?

    Forum administrators and moderators cannot predict when a topic goes to Shite unless monitoring each and every reply. Large newspaper and Facebook forums cannot be constantly monitored and it is the hope of our fine group to come up with an algorithm and predictor model to include in software to enable a warning to be flagged to an Administrator that the thread is turning to Shite and take appropriate steps.

    2) And, what makes a forum thread turn to Shite?

    Many factors contribute to a thread turning to Shite and with this project an algorithm will be used to predict this point and quantify that model. Based on the extensive data from TWF ( which is one of the most widely viewed and longest running Rugby forums on the internet) we hope to clarify what we will call ttS = Turn to Shite.

    To discover the point of ttS we must look at the factors of an Internet Discussion Forum. We have listed as
    N = Number of Threads on the forum site.
    nN = Number of Members.
    B = Banned Members.
    P = Posts per thread.

    After much data analysis (for which we must thanks Darren for access to the banned posts and deleted threads) there was not a direct correlation of the point of ttS to any recognised algorithm.

    For instance, as a Western Force Forum, there is common ground for the higher proportion of the thread as compared to a European Forum where all the members have differing team allegiances and the point of ttS can occur much earlier.

    In fact one thread ( TLH Appreciation Thread) , the TWF members are so nice to each other there was a mathematical impossibility (99.998% ) that the thread would ever reach ttS.

    Therefore our team has reached the following algorithm

    ttS = N*nM/P + Factor 3.16- B /x

    We have applied the above algorithm to all the threads in the Metro Rugby section and have come up with a level of confidence that the algorithm is correct at 99.997%

    So we therefore thank the Administrators of TWF for their help and will keep you up to date on our thesis.

    Just out of interest, the ttS number for the
    Metro Rugby Thread is 1.02 (ie after 1 post it turns to Shite)

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    Champion MI5_Dog's Avatar
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    "Give 'em a uniform and they think they're Hitler"

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    Veteran beige's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eamon O’Conn View Post
    Just out of interest, the ttS number for the
    Metro Rugby Thread is 1.02 (ie after 1 post it turns to Shite)
    Yeah pretty accurate

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    Veteran valzc's Avatar
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    Don't forget the thread nazis

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    Immortal Contributor jono's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by beige View Post
    Yeah pretty accurate
    agreed

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    What happened to all of Liam and yourself 's relations.

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    Wests Scarborough 1st Grade juggernaut has played finals rugby each and every year since its inception and continues this remarkable feat yet again this season and unbelievably it's still rolling on and as an added little circle jerk for the masses Wests actually hold the record for the current longest unbroken finals record.

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    Legend Contributor fulvio sammut's Avatar
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    Which goes to show that one man's shite is another man's chocolate pudding ...

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    Immortal jargan83's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eamon O’Conn View Post
    “spelling Nazi” or “grammar nazi"
    B&B I'm looking at you buddy

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    Only need posts from Ralto and Sevenmile and I think we are done!!

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    Immortal GIGS20's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eamon O’Conn View Post
    2) And, what makes a forum thread turn to Shite?
    GIGS20 posting in the same thread as either Rex or Tic

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    C'mon the

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    Immortal GIGS20's Avatar
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    Actually, dangerously close to GIGS20 posting at all

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    C'mon the

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    __________________________________________________ ___________________________
    Yep, you read it here folks ^ that's the line

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    C'mon the

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    Legend Contributor blueandblack's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jargan83 View Post
    B&B I'm looking at you buddy
    OP was tl;dr

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    "12 Years a Supporter" starring the #SeaOfBlue

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    I resemble that remark my friend

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    Immortal Contributor shasta's Avatar
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    This thread has gone to shite.

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