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Well, the Kwik Competition ladder is starting to settle.
Without being too unkind, we can confidently discount Wests, Kalamunda, Rockingham and University as playing any part in the finals, although they may cause a hiccup or two for the stronger clubs along the way.
Nedlands are still in with a chance, but will have to improve dramatically and win at least two of the remaining three games of the round, to have any possibility of making up ground in the second round. They've got to realise a season is rated on how well you do on the field, not on how well you can throw a party.
Of the remaining five clubs, I believe only Soaks, Palmyra and Cottesloe can reasonably count on making the four at this stage. Despite the hype and the build up, both Wanneroo and Perth look vulnerable. Perth has not recruited as well as they thought, and they miss Murphy's strength in the second row more than they care to admit.Their much vaunted backs are in reality no match for the stronger sides, no matter how they spin it.
Wanneroo will miss Pelesasa significantly, and O'Young and Hodgson to a lesser extent. The latter two were only ever going to be worth a game or two all year and I don't think O'Young will come back. Hodgo is gone now he has made the Wallabies Squad.
Wanneroo's form in the last two weeks has been that of a potentially reasonably good side going off the boil. Uncontested scrums or no uncontested scrums, they should have flogged Wests by fifty points plus last weekend, but didn't. They still have some champion individual players, but as yet no demonstrable team mentality.
(As an aside, don't you love the way West's website makes no mention of the uncontested scrums and seems to blame its parlous situation on other clubs' recruitment of overseas players, not on its own lunacy and complacency in not making sure it had the core of a competitive team, no matter the source? And they still try to make a virtue out of necessity by claiming to be "building locally" on a three year plan! Losing by 25 plus points week in week out is the reward you get for stupidity and stubbornness, not for profound thinking.)
Soaks are a powerful and balanced overall unit, but they are no better up front than the other top sides. And they better start looking for some quality loosies.
They have three outstanding backs in Holmes, Dreyer and Cummins, but as last week showed, a competent side can shut them out of the game.
Cottesloe will suffer from the loss of Tiejens, but otherwise are well set to charge forward in the second round. They have a competent kicker and some excellent inside backs.
While Palmyra are travelling well for now, they are likely to lose several players in the next few weeks, including Manu, who has to consider his future in the Force Academy, and a couple of their star backs who have had tempting approaches from overseas. However they have the quality depth to partially compensate for this if it happens.
I'm looking forward to the rest of the season with some relish!