Wallabies vs Springboks first test preview

[greenandgoldrugby]

Here it is - the first big Wallaby hit out in the Aussie Robbie era, and what a test it's gonna be. The world champeen Springboks have just re-inforced their top-dog status with two matches out of the top drawer, the second earning them their first win on NZ soil for 10 years. As for the Wallabies, we've had flashes of brilliance, but some big questions remain unanswered.

So who's gonna do it in Perth?

Well, I reckon all the clues are written above. It's difficult to imagine the impact of two hard fought test matches in two weeks on the other side of the earth to home, a well deserved piss-up and then a trip right across terra Australis to front up again within the same 7 days. Plus, in the psyche will be that they've played their big match and taken their big scalp. Just hold the rest of their home games and that should be it for this Tri-Nations. Happy daze.

But this doesn't mean it's gonna be easy for the Wallabies. The two softest parts of our game - the breakdown and scrum - are selling points for the Saffas. The scrum I reckon just might hold. It's home turf, they haven't been on top form and its the beginning of the comp - we always seem to get away with it then.

It's the breakdown that worries me the most. I haven't seen a convincing game here since before the RWC, even against the holidaying Frogs, and the likes of Burger and Botha are in wrecking ball form. This is the time for Palu to finally step up onto the big stage and Horwill re-discover some inner mongrel. If they don't then with the ensuing crappy ball and offside Jaapies it's going to be even harder to break the strangle hold of the rush defence. We saw where that got the ABs last weekend.

With what we've seen so far this should be a close game, the fresher Wallaby legs getting them through by 5 points or so. If it's more than that, then the Boks obviously enjoyed the celebrations in Christchurch. If the Wallabies don't do it then its game over Tri-Nations.

[.X.]

Thanks Gagger - good write up

I think you missed one point that always seems to hurt the Wallabies, somewhere along the line someone fron the Wallabies backline will attempt to kick a ball in to touch - make a complete hash of it and the Saffas will run it back for a try.

[Fullback]

I agree with you on the breakdown concerns.

I think one of the main things is that the Boks are used to playing against a structured Wallabies playing style. Now that has changed under Deans to a new ELV friendly style of play it may just put the Boks on the back foot.

If the Boks can't handle it, it will be a Wallabies win. If the Boks do (or Wallabies make errors) it will be a sad night at Subi.

Head says Boks, Heart says Wallabies and my hearts stronger.